| 发电市场不同决策规则三寡头博弈模型研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 吉伟卓,马军海. 发电市场不同决策规则三寡头博弈模型研究[J]. 系统工程学报, 2008, 23(3): 257-264 |
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| 作者姓名： | 吉伟卓 马军海 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 天津大学管理学院,天津,300072;大连理工大学经济系,辽宁,大连,116024
2. 天津大学管理学院,天津,300072 |
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| 摘 要： | 在三寡头垄断的电力市场中假设生产者分别采用静态预期及有限理性预期规则,建立了一个基于不同决策规则的动态博弈模型.对该模型进行了较详细的理论分析和参数仿真计算,在一定范围内得出了系统出现混沌的参数值,分析了不同参数组合条件下系统表现出来的分岔,混沌和密度周期性等复杂性态.所得结果对于一般寡头电力市场中的生产者制定产量计划具有一定启示作用.
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| 关 键 词： | 电力市场 三寡头 博弈模型 不同决策规则 混沌 |
Study of game model based on different decision rules in electric power triopoly market |
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| JI Wei-zhuo,MA Jun-hai. Study of game model based on different decision rules in electric power triopoly market[J]. Journal of Systems Engineering, 2008, 23(3): 257-264 |
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| Authors: | JI Wei-zhuo MA Jun-hai |
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| Abstract: | A dynamic game model based on different decision rules is established in electric power triopoly market provided producers make decisions with static expectation and bounded rationality, respectively.Theoretic analysis and numerical simulation show the range of the parameter leading to the chaos.The complex character of this model,such as fractal,chaos and density cycling is ana- lyzed by using chaotic dynamics theory when some parameters of the model are varied.The results have important value for the producers in the practical electric power oligopoly market. |
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| Keywords: | electric power market triopoly game model different decision rules chaos |
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