| 残差修正之灰色模型应用于财务比率预测 |
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| 引用本文： | 杨文超.残差修正之灰色模型应用于财务比率预测[J].河北经贸大学学报(综合版),2013(3):55-61. |
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| 作者姓名： | 杨文超 |
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| 作者单位： | 徐州工程学院管理学院,江苏徐州221008 |
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| 摘 要： | 以制造业两家上市公司为研究对象,选取15项财务比率为财务绩效指标,用灰色预测模型进行财务比率分析。为提高模型预测的准确度,使用马尔可夫残差修正灰色预测模型,可以更准确地预测企业之财务比率,提供拟定营运策略及一般大众决定投资评估参考。
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| 关 键 词： | 灰色预测模型 马尔可夫 财务比率 制造业上市公司 财务绩效指标 财务资讯 财务报表 比率分析 |
On the Gray Model of Residual Modification Applying to the Financial Ratios Forecast |
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| Authors: | Yang Wenchao |
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| Institution: | Yang Wenchao (School of Management, Xuzhou Institute of Technology, Xuzhou 221008, China) |
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| Abstract: | The author chosen two listed companies of the manufacturing as research object, selected fifteen financial ratios as financial performance indicators, and used the gray prediction model conduct the financial ratio analysis. In order to improve the accuracy of the model predictions, the paper used the Markov residual error correction gray prediction model to predict the financial ratios of enterprises more accurately, and provide reference for developing operational strategies and deciding in- vestment. |
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| Keywords: | gray prediction model Markov financial ratios listed companies of the manufacturing financial performance indicator financial information financial statement ratio analysis |
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