| 玛纳斯河春季径流量中长期预报的灰色预测模式 |
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| 引用本文： | 何新林,董先军.玛纳斯河春季径流量中长期预报的灰色预测模式[J].石河子大学学报,1998,2(3):227-230. |
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| 作者姓名： | 何新林 董先军 |
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| 作者单位： | 石河子乡水管所，石河子农科院 |
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| 摘 要： | 运用灰色系统理论中的灰关联分析方法，建立了天山山区河流春季径流量的预测模式。该预测模式适应性强，对资料的要求不高，比较适合于干旱地区资料短缺河流的水文中长期预报，经肯斯瓦特水文站３８年资料检验，精度较高。
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| 关 键 词： | 春季径流量 天山山区 灰关联分析 |
A Grey Forecasting Method of Mid long Term Spring Runoff Forecasting in Malas River |
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| He Xinlin \ Dong Xianjun \ Zhou Jianwei.A Grey Forecasting Method of Mid long Term Spring Runoff Forecasting in Malas River[J].Journal of Shihezi University(Natural Science),1998,2(3):227-230. |
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| Authors: | He Xinlin \ Dong Xianjun \ Zhou Jianwei |
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| Institution: | 1 Dept of Civil Engineering\ 2 Dept of Water Mangement Shihezi County 3 Shihezi Institute of Agricultural Division Science |
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| Abstract: | Applying the method of grey correlative analysis,the paper suggests a method of mid long term spring runoff forecasting for Tianshan mountain river.The result shows the model is succeeded. |
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| Keywords: | spring runoff tianshan mountain grey correlative analysis |
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