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腊寨水电站大坝右岸滑坡位移矢量角的时序分析
引用本文:张德成.腊寨水电站大坝右岸滑坡位移矢量角的时序分析[J].科学技术与工程,2010,10(35).
作者姓名:张德成
作者单位:1. 昆明理工大学地球科学系,昆明,650093
2. 四川省煤田地质局一三五队,泸州,646000
3. 云南省交通规划设计研究院,昆明,650011
摘    要:基于腊寨水电站大坝右岸滑坡位移观测资料,运用分形几何中的时间序列分析方法对滑坡位移矢量角变化规律进行深入研究,发现滑坡位移矢量角的赫斯特指数H与时间相关函数C(t)随着滑坡失稳程度的加剧呈现明显的下降趋势,表明位移矢量角与滑坡稳定状态同步的动态变化过程,进而说明时间序列分析方法用于滑坡动态预报是可行的。

关 键 词:滑坡,时间序列分析,位移矢量角,动态预报
收稿时间:2010/10/13 0:00:00
修稿时间:2010/10/13 0:00:00

Time Series Analysis of The Displacement Vector Angle In The Right Bank Landslide of La-Zhai Hydroelectric Power Station
zhangdecheng.Time Series Analysis of The Displacement Vector Angle In The Right Bank Landslide of La-Zhai Hydroelectric Power Station[J].Science Technology and Engineering,2010,10(35).
Authors:zhangdecheng
Institution:ZHANG De-cheng,LI Cheng-jun1,DU Fei-xiang2,ZHANG Zhao1(Department of Geological Science,Kunming University of Science and Technology,Kunming 650093,P.R.China,No.135 Team of Coal Mine Geological Bureau In Sichuan Province1,Luzhou 646000,Yunnan Traffic Planing Design Institute2,Kunming 650011,P.R.China)
Abstract:Based on the monitoring data of displacement which result from the right bank landslide of Lazhai Hydroelectric Power Station,a study is completed on the change of the displacement vector angle in the process of deformation by means of the time series analysis method of the fractal theory.It is found that the Hurst and C(t)index of the displacement vector angle has a distinct trend of declining along with the gradual failure of landslide.It is indicated that the displacement vector angle has a synchronous d...
Keywords:landslide time series analysis the displacement vector angle dynamic predicating  
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