| 徐州夏收期雨涝年的初步分析及预报 |
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| 引用本文： | 张建新,蔡惠芳. 徐州夏收期雨涝年的初步分析及预报[J]. 徐州师范大学学报(自然科学版), 1994, 0(2) |
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| 作者姓名： | 张建新 蔡惠芳 |
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| 作者单位： | 徐州气象台 |
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| 摘 要： | 雨涝是徐州地区主要的灾害天气，尤以夏收期间的雨涝对农业生产的危害更大，它是稳定的副高和西风配置的必然产物。综合运用反常分析预报、统计预报和相似预报，可以对徐州地区夏收期间雨量分布的趋势作出判断，其中应特别注重对雨涝年的分析和判断。
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| 关 键 词： | 雨涝，分析预报，统计预报，相似预报 |
PRELININARY ANALYSIS AND FORECAST OF RAIN WATERLOGGING YEARS DURING SUMMER HARVEST PERIODS IN XUZHOU |
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| Zhang Jianxin,Cai Hui fang. PRELININARY ANALYSIS AND FORECAST OF RAIN WATERLOGGING YEARS DURING SUMMER HARVEST PERIODS IN XUZHOU[J]. Journal of Xuzhou Normal University(Natural Science Edition), 1994, 0(2) |
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| Authors: | Zhang Jianxin Cai Hui fang |
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| Affiliation: | Zhang Jianxin;Cai Hui fang |
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| Abstract: | Rain waterlogging is the major disaster weather in Xuzhou,and especially more harmful to agriculture production during summer harvest period.That is the result of arrangement of horse latitude high and westerlies.The integrate application of unusual analysis forecast,statistical forest and analogue forecast can judge the trend of rainfall amount distribution during summer harvest period,and the rain waterlogging years should be especially attached attention to. |
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| Keywords: | Rain waterlogging Analysis forecast Statistical forecast Analogue forecast |
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