| 考虑人员失误的FDPSO钻进时关井作业安全评估 |
| |
| 引用本文： | 刘见德,余建星,马维林,陈飞宇,唐建飞.考虑人员失误的FDPSO钻进时关井作业安全评估[J].天津理工大学学报,2014(4):10-13. |
| |
| 作者姓名： | 刘见德 余建星 马维林 陈飞宇 唐建飞 |
| |
| 作者单位： | 天津大学水利工程仿真与安全国家重点实验室,天津300072 |
| |
| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金创新研究群体科学基金（51021004）; 国家自然科学基金（51239008）; 国家科技重大专项（2011ZX05026-006）;“在役导管架结构可靠度评估技术研究”资助项目（Z14SJENG0060） |
| |
| 摘 要： | 为了对浮式钻井生产储卸油装置(FDPSO)钻进时关井作业进行安全评估,基于认知可靠性和失误分析方法(CREAM)的人员失误概率计算方法,提出了一种综合考虑设备风险和人员风险的安全评估方法.首先对钻进时关井作业进行任务分解,然后根据其事故路径建立了相应的事件树,事件树中的设备失效概率主要来自于风险数据库,而人的动作失误概率则是通过CREAM的定量计算方法得到;最后对事件树中的每条路径进行计算,得到事故发生的总概率;在风险后果的估算中,借鉴了国内外最新的风险研究成果,对FDPSO钻进时关井作业中可能的事故后果进行评估;最终依据风险评估矩阵,得到了考虑人员失误的FDPSO钻进时关井作业的安全评估结果.结果表明,FDPSO钻进时关井作业的风险等级较高,应采取必要的控制措施以降低风险.
|
| 关 键 词： | 人员失误 浮式钻井生产储卸油装置 关井作业 认知可靠性和失误分析方法 风险矩阵 安全评估 |
Operation safety assessment of well shut-in during FDPSO drilling considering human errors |
| |
| LIU Jian-de,YU Jian-xing,MA Wei-lin,CHEN Fei-yu,TANG Jian-fei.Operation safety assessment of well shut-in during FDPSO drilling considering human errors[J].Journal of Tianjin University of Technology,2014(4):10-13. |
| |
| Authors: | LIU Jian-de YU Jian-xing MA Wei-lin CHEN Fei-yu TANG Jian-fei |
| |
| Institution: | (State Key Laboratory of Hydraulic Engineering Simulation and Safety, Tianjin University, Tianjin 300072, China) |
| |
| Abstract: | In order to assess the safety of well shut-in operation during FDPSO drilling, a safety assessment method was pro-posed based on individual failure probability of CREAM, which took into account both equipment risk and human risk. First-ly, well shut-in operation was decomposed into several critical steps. Then, based on the related event tree established ac-cording to failure routines, the total probability of occurrence was calculated and the risk consequence of well shut-in during FDPSO drilling was assessed. Finally, the result of operation safety assessment was obtained based on risk matrix. With the re-sult suggesting a higher risk level in well shut-in during FDPSO drilling,it is necessary to take measures to control the risk. |
| |
| Keywords: | human errors floating drilling production storage and offloading unit （FDPSO） well shut-in cognitive reliability and error analysis method （CREAM） risk matrix safety assessment |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 等数据库收录！ |
|
