技术发展的复杂性机制初探

技术发展受到多个张力的作用,这些张力交织在一起,发生非线性相互作用.当这种非线性相互作用可以近似为线性相互作用时,因果之间一一对应,技术呈现线性发展;当这种非线性相互作用为非线性相关,因果之间一一对应时,技术呈现非线性连续发展;当这种非线性相互作用为非线性相关,因果之间一多对应时,技术呈现发展的多种可能性,主体可以进行选择,技术发展表现出不确定性和偶然性.

Exploration on the Complexity Mechanism of Technological Development

Technological development is affected by a lot of tension. There occurs nonlinear interaction among these factors. When the nonlinear interaction approximately becomes linear interaction, one cause may lead to one effect, technological development appears linear development. When the nonlinear interaction is nonlinear relevant, one cause may lead to one effect, the technological development appears nonlinear development. When the nonlinear interaction is nonlinear relevant, one cause may lead to several effects, the technological development shows multi-probability. Individual may make selection, which takes up uncertainty and chance.