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上市公司规模及成长率概率分布对比实验研究
引用本文:陈晓红,何鹏. 上市公司规模及成长率概率分布对比实验研究[J]. 系统工程, 2006, 24(2): 1-10
作者姓名:陈晓红  何鹏
作者单位:中南大学,商学院,湖南,长沙,410083
基金项目:国家杰出青年科学基金;中南大学校科研和教改项目
摘    要:在引入非系统变量(所属行业、经济性质)和系统变量(通货膨胀、政策周期)的条件下,采用对比实验法分别消除这4个变量的影响,并建立相应的“实验组”进行规模和成长率概率分布的拟合。然后与未消除变量的“对照组”进行对比,从而证明了企业的规模概率分布服从正态分布、成长率概率分布服从拉普拉斯分布是一个必然现象,并不受企业自身属性和外部环境等因素的影响,因此必须通过提高上市公司质量来整体提高其成长性。

关 键 词:规模  成长率  概率分布  正态分布  拉普拉斯分布  对比实验
文章编号:1001-4098(2006)02-0001-10
收稿时间:2005-12-18
修稿时间:2005-12-18

Comparing Experiment of Size and Growth Rate Probability Distributions of Listed Companies in China
CHEN Xiao-hong,HE Peng. Comparing Experiment of Size and Growth Rate Probability Distributions of Listed Companies in China[J]. Systems Engineering, 2006, 24(2): 1-10
Authors:CHEN Xiao-hong  HE Peng
Affiliation:School of Business,Certral South University,Changsha 410083,China
Abstract:Non-system variables(trade,nature of economy) and system variables(inflation,policy cycles) are introduced into this comparing experiment to eliminate the influence of these 4 variables separately.A series of experimental panel are established to carry on the fitting of probability density distributions of the sizes and growth rates.Then the experimental panels are compared with the sample panel in which the influence of variables hasn't been evaluated.All the results prove that the sizes and growth rates of listed companies in China do separately submit to Normal(Distribution) and Laplace(Distribution) and they won't be affected by the factors such as nature of enterprises or external environment condition,etc.In that case,the quality of all listed companies should be comprehensively improved to increase their growth rates.
Keywords:Size  Growth Rate,Probability DistributionlNormal Distribution  Laplace Distribution  Comparing Experiment
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