基于两阶段博弈模型的高铁民航竞合关系研究

本文基于两阶段博弈理论构建高铁与民航的竞合关系模型,通过旅客视角构建一维演化博弈模型,测算高铁与民航的最佳竞争区间;通过古诺博弈理论构建基于价格视角的高铁民航竞合关系模型;通过伯特兰博弈理论构建基于距离视角的高铁民航竞合关系模型,探讨高铁与民航的竞合关系,以期找到两者之间实现共赢的科学策略.研究结果表明:650 km～850 km距离区间是民航和高铁最为激烈的竞争区间,随着运输距离的增加,民航的博弈策略由合作转变为竞争,而高铁恰恰相反,高铁的策略由竞争转变为合作.

Research on the co-opetition between high speed rail and civil aviation based on two stage game model

This paper proposes a competition and cooperation relationship model between high-speed rail and air transport based on the two-stage game theory. Firstly, it builds a one dimensional evolutionary game model from the perspective of passengers to calculate the best competition range. Then, it builds a competition and cooperation relationship model between high-speed rail and air transport from the perspective of price based on Cournot game theory. Finally, it uses the Bertrand game theory to apply the model through a distance perspective, and discusses the competition and cooperation between high-speed rail and air transport in order to find a scientific strategy to achieve a win-win situation. The results show that a distance range of 650 km~850 km is the most intense competition area between air transport and high-speed rail. With the increase of transportation distance, the game strategy of air transport changes from cooperation to competition. On the contrary, the strategy of high-speed rail changes from competition to cooperation.