| 浅谈贝叶斯风险决策分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 何江妮,王玟.浅谈贝叶斯风险决策分析[J].新疆师范大学学报(自然科学版),2006,25(4):18-20,33. |
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| 作者姓名： | 何江妮 王玟 |
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| 作者单位： | 新疆财经学院,应用数学系,新疆,乌鲁木齐,830012 |
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| 摘 要： | 从事经济活动具有风险,在制定一项经济决策之前,应注重其风险分析。文章将贝叶斯理论应用于经济活动,简述了贝叶斯理论的基本原理,并通过一个具体实例,给出了应用贝叶斯理论的步骤和方法。
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| 关 键 词： | 贝叶斯决策 风险分析 期望收益 |
| 文章编号： | 1008-9659（2006）-04-0018-03 |
| 收稿时间： | 06 29 2006 12:00AM |
| 修稿时间： | 2006-06-29 |
On the Bayes Risk Decision—making Analysis |
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| HE Jiangni,WANG Min.On the Bayes Risk Decision—making Analysis[J].Journal of Xinjiang Normal University(Natural Sciences Edition),2006,25(4):18-20,33. |
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| Authors: | HE Jiangni WANG Min |
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| Institution: | Xinjiang Institute of Finance and Economics, Urumqi Xinjiang 830012 |
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| Abstract: | It has risks engaging an economic activity.Before making an economical decision,we should pay great attention to its risk analysis.This paper applies the theory of Bayes to economic activities,and summarizes basic principles of the Bayes theory,and proposes the steps and the method in applying the Bayes theory based on a concrete case. |
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| Keywords: | Bayes decision-making Risk analysis expectation income |
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