| 广东省西江北江流域热带气旋的长期预报 |
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| 引用本文： | 邓国浏. 广东省西江北江流域热带气旋的长期预报[J]. 佛山科学技术学院学报(自然科学版), 1995, 0(6) |
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| 作者姓名： | 邓国浏 |
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| 作者单位： | 佛山大学地理系 佛山 |
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| 摘 要： | 通过对广东省内西、北江洪水长期预报,发现某些预报的洪峰出现时间,恰好与影响该省的各场热带气旋吻合.影响西、北江形成洪水的热带气旋不会遗漏,而不影响西、北江流域的热带气旋在预报图中不反映出来.从而探索出在做洪水长期预报的同时,又可作出对热带气旋的登陆时间、地点、风力等级和大致灾害程度的预报.
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| 关 键 词： | 广东 西江 北江 热带气旋 出峰时间 |
A Long-term Forecast Model of Tropical Cyclones in the West River and the North River Basins of Guangdong |
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| Deng Guoliu. A Long-term Forecast Model of Tropical Cyclones in the West River and the North River Basins of Guangdong[J]. Journal of Foshan University(Natural Science Edition), 1995, 0(6) |
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| Authors: | Deng Guoliu |
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| Affiliation: | Deng Guoliu Department of Tourism and Geography,Foshan university,Foshan 528000 |
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| Abstract: | After the work of long-term flood forecast for the West River and the North River,the author has found that the emergences of tropical cy- clones are in the same time with some flood peaks in these areas.In a year all the tropical cyclones effected floods in these areas can be mirrored in the long- term flood forecast model,moreover,the others do not.With this result,the author achieved a researching way of predicting the tropical cyclones and the lone-term floods for a area meanwhile. |
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| Keywords: | the West River and the North River of Guandong tropical cyclone time of the flood peak |
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