An epidemiological analysis of the Beijing 2008 Hand-Foot-Mouth epidemic |
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Authors: | ZhiDong Cao DaJun Zeng QuanYi Wang XiaoLong Zheng FeiYue Wang |
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Affiliation: | 1 Key Laboratory of Complex Systems and Intelligence Science, Institute of Automation, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190, China; 2 Beijing Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing 100013, China |
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Abstract: | This paper presents an empirical analysis of the epidemiological data concerning the 18445 HFMD-infected cases in Beijing in 2008.The main findings are as follows.(i) Seasonal variations in incidence were observed,with a peak observed during the summer season,especially in May.Male patients outnumber female patients by 1.57:1.(ii) Most cases occurred in children 4 years old or younger.Outperforming Weibull distribution and Gamma distribution as to model fitness when analyzing patient ages,log-normal distrib... |
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Keywords: | Hand-Foot-Mouth disease epidemiological analysis spread mechanism risk factor morbidity map Beijing |
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