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六安市城市水害及其预测
引用本文:赵咏梅.六安市城市水害及其预测[J].徐州师范大学学报(自然科学版),1999(3).
作者姓名:赵咏梅
作者单位:安徽六安师专地理系!安微六安237012
摘    要:根据古代史料和近几十年的气象观测资料,对六安市洪涝灾害的历史状况及现状作了探索,并分析了六安市水灾的周期及背景,最后进行了六安市水灾的灰色预测.

关 键 词:城市水害  灰色预测  六安市

Flood Hazard and Its Prediction in Lu'an City
ZHAO Yong,mei.Flood Hazard and Its Prediction in Lu'an City[J].Journal of Xuzhou Normal University(Natural Science Edition),1999(3).
Authors:ZHAO Yong  mei
Abstract:On the basis of the historical date and the rain date in recent 42 years,this paper reviews the history of flood and water flooding in Lu'an City, and describes its current status.The period characteristics and background of it are also explored with the aid of MEM.At last this paper suggests that there may be two flood hazards occurring in 2006 and 2011 through the analysis of grey prediction.
Keywords:hazard of flood and water flooding  grey prediction  Lu'an City
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