不确定环境下编队对地攻防对抗决策方法研究

以对策论为理论基础,以编队协同对地攻防对抗作战为背景,建立了动态对抗决策模型.针对不确定环境下的军事指挥决策问题,提出了不确定影响因子概念,反映战场不确定环境对各参战单元产生的影响程度,建立了不确定环境下的对抗决策模型.并通过不确定模拟方法进行解算,结合双矩阵对策方法得到对抗策略平衡点.仿真结果表明,该算法能够合理处理战场不确定环境带来的影响,客观分析作战结果,为作战指挥决策提供有力的决策支持,仿真结果合理有效.

Study on air formation to ground attack-defends decision-making in uncertainty

Based on the game theory and taking air formation to ground attack-defends campaign as the background,this paper establishes an opposed dynamic decision-making model.As to the problems in military decision-making in uncertainty,a uncertain-influence-factor reflected the uncertain influence on battle units is presented,and an uncertain opposed decision-making model in anticipant value and in correlative chance way farther is established.By the way of uncertain simulation and combined with bimatrix game way,the strategy equilibrium is obtained.It can be seen from the simulating results that the model disposes the uncertain status in battlefield reasonably,analyzes the fighting results objectively,and offers a powerful decision-making support for military operation.The proposed method is practical and effective.