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集束箭弹命中概率分析的Monte-Carlo方法
引用本文:王树山,买瑞敏.集束箭弹命中概率分析的Monte-Carlo方法[J].北京理工大学学报,2005,25(4):286-288.
作者姓名:王树山  买瑞敏
作者单位:北京理工大学,爆炸灾害预防与控制国家重点实验室,北京,100081;北京理工大学,爆炸灾害预防与控制国家重点实验室,北京,100081;北京机电研究所,北京,102202
摘    要:研究集束箭弹命中概率的分析与计算方法.讨论了集束箭弹小箭分布特性,构造了小箭分布规律的数学模型,提出了分析集束箭弹命中概率的Monte-Carlo模拟方法.编写了采用Monte-Carlo模拟方法的集束箭弹命中概率计算程序并对实例进行了计算,得到了集束箭弹的命中概率及其与小箭散布参数的关系.研究结果具有工程应用价值,并证明了Monte-Carlo方法是分析集束箭弹命中概率的有效方法.

关 键 词:集束箭弹  命中概率  Monte-Carlo方法
文章编号:1001-0645(2005)04-0286-03
收稿时间:2004/5/31 0:00:00
修稿时间:2004年5月31日

Monte-Carlo Analysis Method on Hit Probability of Multi-Arrow Canisters
WANG Shu-shan and MAI Rui-min.Monte-Carlo Analysis Method on Hit Probability of Multi-Arrow Canisters[J].Journal of Beijing Institute of Technology(Natural Science Edition),2005,25(4):286-288.
Authors:WANG Shu-shan and MAI Rui-min
Institution:Beijing Institute of Technology, Beijing100081, China;Beijing Institute of Technology, Beijing100081, China; Beiing Machinery and Electron Research Institute, Beijing102202, China
Abstract:Hit probability analysis and calculation method of multi-arrow canisters are studied. Arrow dispersion characteristics of multi-arrow canisters are discussed, and their mathematical models are constructed. The Monte-Carlo hit probability analysis simulation method of multi-arrow canisters is proposed. For a specific multi-arrow canisters, a calculation algorithm is programmed by the use of this method, and hit probability is calculated and the relationships between hit probability and the arrow distribution parameters are obtained. The simulation results can be used in engineering, and the Monte-Carlo method is proved to be an effective tool for multi-arrow canisters hit probability analysis.
Keywords:multi-arrows canister  hit probability  Monte-Carlo method
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