水环境水平的规模－技术进步预测模型

本文将作者的理论研究成果“历史横断面数据的时间序列化”技术和耗散结构理论应用于“重金属废水治理综合分析的初步研究”这一软科学课题中, 从而得出既能反映因果关系又具有时序特征的水环境水平的规模-技术进步预测模型。并首次提出“熵输出国”的概念。

A Prediction Model Based on Production Scale- Technology Progress for Water Environment Level

Time Sequentialization of data from Different Historical Cross Sections”technique,a pre-vious theoretical reseach result of the authors,along with the dissipative structure theory,is used in this paper in a soft science project “Preliminary Reseach of comprehensive analysis of Menegement Level of Waste Water from Heavy Metal Industries”. By applying these two theorise, the production scale of an enterprise can be regarded as“the positive entropy”which will cause deterioration of the water environment, while the technology progress factorr regarding the water environment managent can be treated as “the negtive entropy”which will reverse the deterioration. Thus, a scale-technology progress predicition model of water environment level which not noly reflects a cause-and-effect relationship but also pocesses a time sequence feature can be obtained. In this paper, a new concep-tion of“Entropy Output Country” is put forward.