上海港国际集装箱运输系统规划

综合两种灰色模型得出上海港集装箱吞吐量发展水平的预测值．选取3条主要的国际航线，分别是上海-美国、上海-欧洲、上海-日本，建立单航线单船模型，用黄金分割法进行船型优选．以此为基础，从系统工程的角度结合港、航、船、货4个方面，对上述航线上的船舶进行优化配置，给出船队发展规划，从而为上海国际集装箱枢纽港的建设提供参考．

Scheme for Shanghai International Container Transportation System

Shanghai international container transportation system consists of four sub systems: container terminals, routes, ships and cargo. Based on the prediction of the port's TEU throughput, a single ship optimizing model was set up on three major international routes, which are the routes from Shanghai to west USA, to North Europe and to Japan. Then from the view of system project, a fleet deployment scheme was put forward on the aspect of integration of the four sub system. All of these can provide useful and reasonable reference for the future development of the port of Shanghai.