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基于冲突分析的中日钓鱼岛争端评价
引用本文:陈家昀,宋杰鲲. 基于冲突分析的中日钓鱼岛争端评价[J]. 科技信息, 2013, 0(13): 491-493
作者姓名:陈家昀  宋杰鲲
作者单位:[1]中国石油大学地球科学与技术学院,山东青岛266580 [2]中国石油大学经济管理学院,山东青岛266580
摘    要:冲突分析是近年来在经典对策论和偏对策理论基础上发展起来的一种对冲突行为进行正规分析的决策分析方法,对于许多重大事件(如古巴导弹危机等)分析都十分有效。近段时间中日钓鱼岛问题持续升温,2012年9月10日,日本政府单方面宣布对钓鱼岛及附属岛屿实施所谓"国有化",引起中方强烈抗议。本文将采用冲突分析的方法评价中日钓鱼岛争端并得出结论,提出均衡决策。

关 键 词:冲突分析  中日争端  钓鱼岛  稳定性分析

Evaluation on The Sino-Japanese Dispute over Diaoyudao Island based on Conflict Analysis
CHEN Jia-yun,SONG Jie-kun. Evaluation on The Sino-Japanese Dispute over Diaoyudao Island based on Conflict Analysis[J]. Science, 2013, 0(13): 491-493
Authors:CHEN Jia-yun  SONG Jie-kun
Affiliation:2 (1.School of Geosciences, China University of Petroleum,Qingdao Shandong, 266580, China; 2.School of Economics and Management, China University of Petroleum, Qingdao Shandong, 266580, China)
Abstract:Conflict analysis is developed from the classic game theory and metagame theory in recent years, and it is very effective for the analysis of the many major events (such as the Cuban missile crisis). Recently, Sino-Japanese dispute over Diaoyudao Island continues to heat, Japanese government unilaterally announced the implementation of the so-called "nationalization" of the Diaoyudao Island and its affiliated islands on September 10, 2012, which has caused Chinese strong protest. This paper uses conflict analysis method to evaluate the Sino-Japanese dispute over the Diaoyudao Islands and proposes the balanced decision-making.
Keywords:Conflict analysis  Sino-Japanese dispute  Diaoyudao island  Stability analysis
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