| 基于组合预测模型的西藏人口分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 刘鑫,徐世英.基于组合预测模型的西藏人口分析[J].中央民族大学学报(自然科学版),2008,17(3):67-70. |
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| 作者姓名： | 刘鑫 徐世英 |
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| 作者单位： | 中央民族大学,理学院,北京,100081 |
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| 摘 要： | 本文建立了西藏地区人口数量的组合预测模型，模型理论可靠，稳定性高，且预测精度好，经过计算得到了西藏地区未来五年的人口发展趋势．该模型可以普遍应用于人口分析和预测工作．
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| 关 键 词： | 组合预测模型 西藏 人口预测 |
Population Forecast in Tibet region Based on Combining Forecasting Model |
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| LIU Xin,XU Shi-ying.Population Forecast in Tibet region Based on Combining Forecasting Model[J].Journal of The Central University for Nationalities(Natural Sciences Edition),2008,17(3):67-70. |
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| Authors: | LIU Xin XU Shi-ying |
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| Institution: | ( College of Science, Central University for Nationalities, Beijing 100081, China ) |
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| Abstract: | To analyze the trend of population growing in Tibet region, we build a combining forecasting model, which is proved to be reliable and stabilize, so it can be generally applied to demographic analysis work. |
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| Keywords: | combining forecasting model Tibet region population forecast |
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