| 上海世博会宏观经济影响力的系统动力学分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 周千猷,张亚斌. 上海世博会宏观经济影响力的系统动力学分析[J]. 系统工程, 2011, 0(7) |
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| 作者姓名： | 周千猷 张亚斌 |
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| 作者单位： | 湖南大学经济与贸易学院; |
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| 摘 要： | 在建立基于系统动力学的上海经济运行模型基础上,得到上海经济运行的预测数据,并根据上海经济的预测数据与实际数据的差异程度,定义了世博会对上海宏观经济影响力的相对指数与绝对指数,通过这两个指数量化了筹备期和会展期世博会对上海宏观经济的影响力。
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| 关 键 词： | 世博会 系统动力学模型 宏观经济 |
The Macroeconomic Influence of World Expo and Its Impact on Shanghai Based on System Dynamics |
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| ZHOU Qian-you,ZHANG Ya-bin. The Macroeconomic Influence of World Expo and Its Impact on Shanghai Based on System Dynamics[J]. Systems Engineering, 2011, 0(7) |
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| Authors: | ZHOU Qian-you ZHANG Ya-bin |
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| Affiliation: | ZHOU Qian-you,ZHANG Ya-bin(Hunan University,Changsha 410079,China) |
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| Abstract: | This paper establishes the macroeconomic operation model of Shanghai based on system dynamics,and get forecast data of Shanghai economic operation.According to the degree of difference between forecast data and actual data of Shanghai economy,we define the relative index and absolute index of the impact of Shanghai expo on the macro-economic,to quantitatively study the impact of Shanghai expo on the macroeconomy. |
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| Keywords: | World Expo System Dynamics Model The Macro-economy |
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