全要素生产率与福建省三大主导产业产出增长的源泉分解——基于非参数生产前沿分析

在DEA-Malmquist指数的基础上,考虑能源要素,进一步把福建省三大主导产业产出的增长分解为全要素生产率的增长以及要素投入的增长效应.研究发现,考虑能源要素后, 2002-2009年间: 1)福建省三大主导产业产出的平均增长率为21.48%,主要依靠要素投入的增长; 2)全要素生产率的提高平均每年带动产出增长7.48个百分点,其中技术进步贡献2.98个百分点,技术效率改善贡献4.5个百分点,要素投入平均每年对产出增长的贡献为14个百分点; 3)要素投入增长在经济增长中占主导地位的条件下,福建省三大主导产业的发展速度呈现逐年下降的趋势.因此,为了维持福建省三大主导产业的持续高速发展, 必须进一步提高全要素生产率,包括技术进步和技术效率的改善.

Total factor productivity and decomposition of the output growth sources of the three leading industries in Fujian province: Based on non-parametric production frontier analysis

Based on DEA-Malmquist index, considered the element of energy, the paper decomposed the output growth of the three leading industries in Fujian province into two part: the growth of total factor productivity and the growth effects of input factors. The study found, after having considered the element of energy, during the years 2002-2009: 1) The average growth rate of the output of the three leading industries was 21.48%, mainly depended on the growth of input factors; 2) The growth of total factor productivity led outputs growth 7.48 percentage points every year, with the contribution of 2.98 percentage points of technological progress, and technical efficiency improvement contributed 4.5 percentage points. The growth of input factors contribution to outputs growth was 14 percentage points; 3) The growth of input factors was dominant in the economic growth, under that condition, the development of the three leading industries in Fujian province showed a declining trend. Therefore, the paper argues that in order to maintain the rapid development of the three leading industries, we should make further improvement of the total factor productivity, including technological progress and technical efficiency improvement.