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Disaggregation of annual time-series data to quarterly figures: A comparative study
Authors:Wai-Sum Chan
Abstract:In this paper we consider some of the prominent methods that are available in the literature for the problem of disaggregating annual time-series data to quarterly figures. The procedures are briefly described and illustrated through a real data set. The performances of the methods are compared in a Monte Carlo study. The results indicate that the complicated model-based procedure is usually superior to other non-model-based alternatives in the large sample situations. Based on the simulation results, we make some recommendations regarding the use of these methods.
Keywords:Aggregation  ARIMA models  Data disaggregation  Interpolation  US GNP data
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