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云南林火重灾年与太平洋海温异常变化关系的研究
引用本文:戴丛蕊,顾本文,李金槐. 云南林火重灾年与太平洋海温异常变化关系的研究[J]. 云南大学学报(自然科学版), 2011, 0(Z1)
作者姓名:戴丛蕊  顾本文  李金槐
作者单位:云南大学大气科学系;云南省气候中心;临沧市气象局;
基金项目:云南省气象局业务能力研究与提升建设专项项目资助(YZ201003)
摘    要:运用异常度分析技术,研究发现如果东太平洋部分海域的某些年份海温升高,而后的第3年海温又偏低,则紧随而至的云南防火季可能是森林火险重灾年.另外,El Nino发生后的第3、4年云南就很可能具有爆发森林大火的气候背景,这为云南森林火险的长期趋势预报提供了一种方法.

关 键 词:森林火灾  海温异常  ElNino  云南  

The relationship between the severely affected forest fire season in Yunnan and the abnormal change of the Pacific Ocean surface temperature
DAI Cong-rui,,GU Ben-wen,LI Jin-huai. The relationship between the severely affected forest fire season in Yunnan and the abnormal change of the Pacific Ocean surface temperature[J]. Journal of Yunnan University(Natural Sciences), 2011, 0(Z1)
Authors:DAI Cong-rui    GU Ben-wen  LI Jin-huai
Affiliation:DAI Cong-rui1,2,GU Ben-wen2,LI Jin-huai1,3(1.Department of Atmospheric Science,Yunnan University,Kunming 650091,China,2.Yunnan Climate Center,Kunming 650034,3.Lincang Bureau of Meteorology,Lincang 677000,China)
Abstract:In this paper,by application of abnormal analysis techniques,it is found that if part of the waters of the eastern Pacific Ocean temperatures increased in some years,and then the third year of sea surface temperature is low,the forest fire season immediately may be the severely affected forest fire years to the Yunnan.In addition,El Nino occurred in the third and fourth year of Yunnan may have a climatic background to the outbreak of forest fires.It provides a way for long-term trends in Yunnan forest fire ...
Keywords:forest fire  abnormol SST  El Nino  Yunnan  
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