| 系统动力学模型在城市群发展规划中的应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 赵璟,党兴华. 系统动力学模型在城市群发展规划中的应用[J]. 系统管理学报, 2008, 17(4) |
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| 作者姓名： | 赵璟 党兴华 |
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| 作者单位： | 西安理工大学,工商管理学院,西安,710054 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家社会科学基金资助项目 |
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| 摘 要： | 着眼于城市群发展系统的复杂动态关系,建立了包含城市群经济增长和城市群空间结构特征的系统动力学模型.通过数据仿真研究城市群经济增长与城市群空间结构演化之间的关系,并调整政策变量集合得到3种城市群空间结构演化模式,比较发现,空间结构呈现位序一规模分形分布的城市群空间结构演化模式最利于促进城市群经济增长,而且投资、城市间相互作用和城市群创新能力对城市群经济增长起重要作用.城市群发展规划中应防止城市群空间结构分形特征退化,并且增强城市间相互作用和城市群创新能力以促进城市群健康发展.
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| 关 键 词： | 系统动力学模型 城市群 城市规模分布 仿真 |
Application of System Dynamic Model in Urban Agglomeration Development Planning |
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| ZHAO Jing,DANG Xing-hua. Application of System Dynamic Model in Urban Agglomeration Development Planning[J]. Systems Engineering Theory·Methodology·Applications, 2008, 17(4) |
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| Authors: | ZHAO Jing DANG Xing-hua |
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| Affiliation: | School of Management;Xi'an University of Technology;Xi'an 710054;China |
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| Abstract: | With a view to the complex dynamic relation of urban agglomeration development system,the thesis studied the relations of Guanzhong urban agglomeration economy growth and its urbanization progress by using system dynamics(SD) model according to the historical data simulation,and found fractal characteristics of size distribution of Guanzhong urban agglomeration raising continuously in the future.By comparing the three projects that were simulated in the model through adjusting policy variables,the thesis fo... |
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| Keywords: | system dynamics model urban agglomeration city-size distribution simulation |
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