岛屿争端中国家间博弈模型与策略仿真分析

岛屿争端通常涉及国家的核心利益及国际形象,根据岛屿争端问题的特点和相关国家可能采取的行为,研究了针对岛屿争端问题的国家间博弈模型,并对相关国家的策略进行了仿真分析。首先,将主动型国家和被动型国家的行为交互描述为一个随机博弈,并建立相应的博弈模型;然后,应用该模型分析主动型国家的期望行为和被动型国家的防守行为;最后,用计算机仿真分析相关国家的行为能力变化时对其策略选择和最终收益的影响。研究成果将为有岛屿争端问题的相关国家制定策略时提供有益的参考。

Game Model and Strategy Simulation Analysis Between Two Countries for Island Dispute

Island dispute concerns core interests of countries and international presence.Considering the features of island dispute problem and actions of relative countries,they study the game model between countries towards island dispute and analyze the strategies change by computer simulation.Firstly,they describe the interactions between active country and passive country as a stochastic game and construct a stochastic game model.Based on the model,then the expected behavior of the active country and some effective defense actions for the passive country are computed.Finally they analyze the impact with the change of the actions capability towards the strategies alternatives and the reward value.According to the analysis above,it can provide some reference value for relative countries to solve the island dispute problem.