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预测模型在指标化用电管理中的应用
引用本文:窦霁虹,张东仓.预测模型在指标化用电管理中的应用[J].西北大学学报,1999,29(4):285-288.
作者姓名:窦霁虹  张东仓
作者单位:西北大学数学系!陕西西安710069
摘    要:通过对西北大学用电数据的分析,建立了季节模型、线性季节模型和比例季节模型等3 种相应的预测模型,应用此模型可以对校内各单位用电量进行预测并做适当处理,据此下达今后的用电指标。

关 键 词:预测模型  用电量  用电指标  季节指数

The application of predicting m odels in therationalization m anagem ent of applying electricity
D O U Ji hong,Z H A N G Dong cang,Z H A N G Yi kuan.The application of predicting m odels in therationalization m anagem ent of applying electricity[J].Journal of Northwest University(Natural Science Edition),1999,29(4):285-288.
Authors:D O U Ji hong  Z H A N G Dong cang  Z H A N G Yi kuan
Abstract:Three m odels are found by analysing the recorded electric data of the Northw est University, theelectric consum ption can be estim ated, so the consum ed electric quantity in the future is distributed ratio nally to every departm ent. The w ork w illbe im portant in the rationalization m anagem ent of applying elec tricity.
Keywords:predicting m odel  the consum ed electric quantity  the electric target  seasonal index  
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