模糊随机环境下编队对地攻防对抗决策方法研究

随着现代军事技术的发展,军事作战指挥中的不确定性决策问题成为军事决策支持系统中迫切需要解决的问题。以对策论为理论基础,以编队协同对地攻防对抗作战为背景,建立了动态对抗决策模型,针对模糊随机环境下的军事指挥决策问题,提出了模糊随机影响因子概念,反映战场不确定环境对各参战单元产生的影响程度,建立了模糊随机环境下的对抗决策模型。通过模糊随机模拟方法解算期望值决策模型及机会约束对抗决策模型,得到对抗策略平衡点。仿真结果表明,该算法能够合理处理战场模糊随机环境带来的影响,客观分析作战结果,为作战指挥决策提供有力的决策支持,方法实用、有效,具有很好的应用前景。

Study on Air Formation to Ground Attack-defends Decision Making in Fuzzy-stochastic Condition

With the development of modern military technology,uncertain decision-making problems become more and more exigent to be solved in military command and control.Based on game theory,and taking air formation to ground attack-defends campaign as the background,an opposed dynamic decision-making model was established. As to the problems in military decision-making in fuzzy-stochastic condition in uncertainty,a fuzzy-stochastic-influence-factor was put forward,which reflected the fuzzy-stochastic influence on battle units,and a fuzzy-stochastic opposed decision-making model was established in anticipant value and in correlative chance way farther to get strategy equilibrium. It can be seen from the simulating results that the model disposes the fuzzy-stochastic status in battlefield reasonably,analyzes the fighting results objectively,and offers a powerful decision-making support for military operation. The method is practically and effectively,and has a good future in its application.