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多时段动态AHP评价方法在农业资源环境预警中的应用
引用本文:刘志强,陈丽蓉.多时段动态AHP评价方法在农业资源环境预警中的应用[J].农业系统科学与综合研究,2007,23(4):421-424.
作者姓名:刘志强  陈丽蓉
作者单位:1. 中国科学院东北地理与农业生态研究所,黑龙江,哈尔滨,150081
2. 东北林业大学经济管理学院,黑龙江,哈尔滨,150040
基金项目:国家自然科学基金;黑龙江省哈尔滨市科技局科研项目
摘    要:运用多时段动态定量评价模型,对哈尔滨市的畜牧资源环境与畜牧发展能力进行了多时段动态评价和历史追朔,并对19个县市资源环境变化走势进行了曲线拟合和趋势预警,分析了未来畜牧资源、环境、生产与社会经济发展之间的配置能力,提出了发展畜牧业的相应对策与建议。图3,表3,参5。

关 键 词:多时段  评价  预警  资源
文章编号:1001-0068(2007)04-0421-04
修稿时间:2006-12-06

Application of Multi-period and Dynamic Evaluation Method of AHP in Warning System for Agricultural Resource and Environment
LIU Zhi-qiang,CHEN Li-rong.Application of Multi-period and Dynamic Evaluation Method of AHP in Warning System for Agricultural Resource and Environment[J].System Sciemces and Comprehensive Studies In Agriculture,2007,23(4):421-424.
Authors:LIU Zhi-qiang  CHEN Li-rong
Institution:1. Northeast Institute of Geography and Agricultural Ecology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Harbin 150081, China ; 2. College of Economics and management, Northeast Forestry University, Harbin 150040, China
Abstract:Using the multi-period and dynamic evaluation model,we dynamically evaluated on animal husbandry resource and environment and the ability of husbandry development in Harbin,and investigated its history.The change of resource and environment in 19 counties and cities was simulated as curves and predicted for warning,and the ability of collocation between social development and animal husbandry resource,environment and products in the future was analyzed.Some relevant policies and suggestions for animal husbandry development were proposed.
Keywords:AHP
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