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一类离散SISV传染病模型的理论与仿真分析
引用本文:董福安,危敏剑,于斌. 一类离散SISV传染病模型的理论与仿真分析[J]. 西北师范大学学报(自然科学版), 2011, 47(1)
作者姓名:董福安  危敏剑  于斌
作者单位:空军工程大学理学院;94923部队;
基金项目:国家自然科学基金资助项目(11071256); 陕西省自然科学基金资助项目(SJ08-ZT13)
摘    要:引入相应的概率来描述个体的死亡、染病者的恢复、被接种者免疫的失去以及疾病的传染,建立了具有非线性发生率的离散SISV传染病模型.对于总种群动力学性态是补偿的情形,确定了决定其动力学性态的阈值,在阈值之下模型的无病平衡点是局部渐近稳定的,且仿真显示在一些参数取值下模型发生了后向分支,在阈值之上模型是一致持续的;对于总种群动力学性态是过度补偿的情形,仿真显示当总种群动力学性态出现倍周期和混沌现象时,易感类、染病类和被接种类也出现倍周期和混沌现象.

关 键 词:离散传染病模型  动力学性态  平衡点  稳定性  

Theory and simulation analysis of a discrete-time SISV epidemic model
DONG Fu-an,WEI Min-jian,YU Bin. Theory and simulation analysis of a discrete-time SISV epidemic model[J]. Journal of Northwest Normal University Natural Science (Bimonthly), 2011, 47(1)
Authors:DONG Fu-an  WEI Min-jian  YU Bin
Affiliation:DONG Fu-an1,WEI Min-jian1,2,YU Bin1(1.College of Science,Air Force Engineering University,Xi'an 710051,Shaanxi,China,2.Unit 94923,Wuyishan 354301,Fujian,China)
Abstract:The probability is introduced to formulate the death of individuals,the recovery of the infected individuals,the loss immunity of the vaccinal individuals and incidence of epidemic disease.Discrete-time SISV epidemic model with nonlinear incidence rate is established.In case of the total population dynamic is compensator,the threshold determining its dynamical behavior is found.Below the threshold the disease-free equilibrium is locally asymptotically stable and simulation shows the model occurs backward bi...
Keywords:discrete-time epidemic model  dynamical behavior  equilibrium  stability  
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