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城市大气环境极限承载力及调控方法研究
引用本文:黄光球,王文昕.城市大气环境极限承载力及调控方法研究[J].系统仿真学报,2021(1):159-168.
作者姓名:黄光球  王文昕
作者单位:西安建筑科技大学管理学院
基金项目:国家自然科学基金(71874134);陕西省自然科学基础研究计划-重点项目(2019JZ-30);陕西省社会科学基金(2018S49,2017S035)。
摘    要:为了解决大气环境极限承载力的计算问题,提出了大气环境极限承载力计算公式,并根据城市能源规划构建以"污染指标-能源"达标为约束的系统动力学模型,即PI-E-SD(Pollution Indicator-Energy-System Dynamics)模型.采用线性回归方法确定了污染指标,解决了指标不统一的问题;采用SD(S...

关 键 词:大气环境  极限承载力  系统动力学  调控方法

Study on Ultimate Carrying Capacity and Regulation Methods of Urban Atmospheric Environment
Huang Guangqiu,Wang Wenxin.Study on Ultimate Carrying Capacity and Regulation Methods of Urban Atmospheric Environment[J].Journal of System Simulation,2021(1):159-168.
Authors:Huang Guangqiu  Wang Wenxin
Institution:(School of Management,Xi'an University of Architecture&Technology,Xi'an 710055,China)
Abstract:In order to solve the calculation problem of the ultimate carrying capacity of the atmospheric environment, the calculation formula of the ultimate carrying capacity of the atmospheric environment is proposed, and the system dynamics model with the ‘pollution index-energy’ compliance as the constraint is constructed according to the urban energy planning, namely the PI-E-SD(Pollution Indicator-Energy-System Dynamics) model. In this model, the linear regression method is used to determine the pollution index, which solves the non-uniformity problem. The SD-modeling method is used to construct the "energy-economy-environment" simulation system, so that the government measures can be quantified to make the prediction result more accurate. By adjusting the control factors to limit the ultimate carrying capacity, it is easy to quickly find an environmental optimization plan. The results show that the model has good adaptability and can provide reference for different cities in formulating energy conservation and environmental protection policies.
Keywords:atmospheric environment  ultimate carrying capacity  system dynamics  regulation method
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