面向平行应急管理的计算实验框架

平行应急管理方法已经成为一种应对非常规突发事件的有效手段,计算实验是支持平行应急管理的核心能力.论文首先介绍了平行应急管理方法,包括平行应急管理的基本思想以及在KDACP平台的平行应急管理动力学模型;然后设计了面向平行应急管理的计算实验框架,根据一般实验框架原理,结合平行应急管理的特点,给出了平行应急管理计算实验过程模型;最后以此框架支撑KD-ACP平台进行北京市甲型H1N1的计算实验研究,根据应急指南设计了四级响应措施,对实验结果进行了对比.通过应用表明,该实验框架能够很好地支持平行应急管理.

Parallel emergency management oriented computation experimental frame

The parallel emergency management has become an effective method to emergency management and the computation experiment is the key capacity of this method. Firstly the parallel emergency management's basic idea and the dynamic model of the KD-ACP platform were introduced. Then the parallel emergency management oriented computation experiment frame was designed. Based on the generic principles of the experiment frame and the characteristic of parallel emergency management, the process model of computation experiment was proposed. Finally the experiments of H1N1 transmitting in Beijing city based on the experiment framework in KD-ACP were executed and four levels' emergency response measures were designed, and the experimental results were contrasted. According to the application, the proposed frame can support the parallel emergency management very well.