| 基于灰色关联模型的我国三大化石能源消费研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 李宏勋,程栋栋.基于灰色关联模型的我国三大化石能源消费研究[J].甘肃科学学报,2014,26(5):98-103. |
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| 作者姓名： | 李宏勋 程栋栋 |
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| 作者单位： | 中国石油大学(华东)经济管理学院,山东青岛,266580 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家社科基金项目“低碳经济下我国天然气产业发展战略研究”，中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金，中国石油大学(华东)自主创新科研计划资助项目“低碳经济下我国石油工业发展对策研究” |
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| 摘 要： | 在对中国统计年鉴2000-2011年的分行业能源消费数据进行归类统计的基础上,构建了我国七大行业对三大化石能源消费数据与总消费数据之间的序列数表.运用灰色关联度评价法对序列数表之间的关联度做定量计算.结果显示,我国的三大化石能源消费主要在工业、制造业、电力、建筑业等第二产业中,消费结构不合理,我国应在保证能源提供充足的前提下加快洁净煤技术的研发,调整消费结构,充分利用天然气资源.以完善产业结构、发展循环经济、实施清洁生产等一系列措施保证我国能源高效、清洁、可持续利用.
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| 关 键 词： | 低碳经济 灰色关联 化石能源消费 影响强度 对策 |
Research on China's Three Fossil Energy Consumption Based on Gray Relational Model |
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| LI Hong-xun,CHENG Dong-dong.Research on China's Three Fossil Energy Consumption Based on Gray Relational Model[J].Journal of Gansu Sciences,2014,26(5):98-103. |
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| Authors: | LI Hong-xun CHENG Dong-dong |
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| Institution: | ( College of Economic ＆ Management ,China University of Petroleum ,Qingdao 266580,China) |
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| Abstract: | Sequence table between the three fossil energy consumption data and the total consumption data by seven major industries in our country has been constructed on the basis of the sub-sectors of energy consumption data to classify statistics belong to China＇s Statistical Yearbook in 2000-2011.Gray correlation degree is used to calculate the correlation between the sequence table,the results show that China＇s three major fossil energy consumption is mainly in secondary industry including the industrial,manufacturing,electricity,construction,the structure of consumption is not reasonable.China should speed up the premise of providing clean coal technology,consumption structure adjustment,make full use of natural resources,industrial restructuring,develop the recycle economy,clean production and a series of measures to ensure our energy efficient,clean,sustainable energy use in the future. |
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| Keywords: | Low-carbon economy Gray Relational Fossil energy consumption Impact strength Countermeasure |
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