| 中长期电力负荷的模糊回归预测 |
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| 引用本文： | 孙洪波,徐国禹.中长期电力负荷的模糊回归预测[J].重庆大学学报(自然科学版),1993,16(6):16-20. |
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| 作者姓名： | 孙洪波 徐国禹 |
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| 作者单位： | 重庆大学电气工程系，重庆大学电气工程系，重庆大学电气工程系 重庆，630044，重庆，630044，重庆，630044 |
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| 摘 要： | 针对中长期电力负荷预测中观测数据及负荷变化规律的模糊性，提出了一种新的负荷预测方法－模糊回归预测。该方法通过建立具有模糊回归参数的回归模型，可以直接由模糊观测数据预测出未来负荷值。文中通过实际算例验证了所提方法的可行性。
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| 关 键 词： | 电力负荷 模糊回归 预测 电力系统 |
A Fuzzy Regression Method for Long-Term and Medium-Term Load Forecasting |
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| Sun Hongbo Xu Guoyu Qin Yihong.A Fuzzy Regression Method for Long-Term and Medium-Term Load Forecasting[J].Journal of Chongqing University(Natural Science Edition),1993,16(6):16-20. |
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| Authors: | Sun Hongbo Xu Guoyu Qin Yihong |
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| Institution: | Sun Hongbo Xu Guoyu Qin Yihong |
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| Abstract: | In view of the observation data fuzziness and load pattern fuzziness,a new fuzzy regression prediction method was presented for long-term and medium-term load forecasting. With the established fuzzy regression model, the future load value can be forecasted based on the fuzzy historical observation data. The validity of the proposed method was verified with the numerical example of a practical system. |
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| Keywords: | electric load fuzzy regression analysis forecasting |
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