| 菏泽地区人口-耕地-粮食复合系统的灰色预测及对策研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 于法稳,于法家.菏泽地区人口-耕地-粮食复合系统的灰色预测及对策研究[J].重庆工商大学学报(自然科学版),1998(1). |
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| 作者姓名： | 于法稳 于法家 |
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| 作者单位： | 西南农业大学经贸学院(于法稳)，山东省菏泽地区统计局(于法家) |
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| 摘 要： | 利用ＧＭ（１，１）模型预测了菏泽地区的总人口和耕地面积，用拓扑预测模型预测了其粮食总产，并对三者进行了关联度分析。根据预测及分析结果，探讨了解决人口、耕地和粮食之间矛盾的对策和措施。
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| 关 键 词： | 菏泽地区 人口 耕地 粮食 系统 灰色预测 对策研究 |
Gray Prediciton and Strategies Study on the Compound System of the Population Cultivated Land Food in Heze District |
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| Yu,Fawen.Gray Prediciton and Strategies Study on the Compound System of the Population Cultivated Land Food in Heze District[J].Journal of Chongqing Technology and Business University:Natural Science Edition,1998(1). |
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| Authors: | Yu Fawen |
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| Abstract: | The indices of the total population and cultivated land in Heze District is predicted by using the model of GM(1,1),and the total food output is forecasted based on the topological prediction model.The degrees of relationship among them are also analysed.According to the results of prediction and analysis,the measures and strategies for sowing the contradictions among them are propounded. |
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| Keywords: | Heze District population cultivated land food system gray prediction strategy study |
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