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无人战斗机机体研制生产费用的灰色模型估算方法
引用本文:陆凯,李为吉,宋笔锋. 无人战斗机机体研制生产费用的灰色模型估算方法[J]. 系统工程理论与实践, 2003, 23(3): 117-122. DOI: 10.12011/1000-6788(2003)3-117
作者姓名:陆凯  李为吉  宋笔锋
作者单位:西北工业大学飞机系
基金项目:全国优秀博士论文专项基金 ( 2 0 0 0 5 1)
摘    要:基于灰色理论建立了一种无人战斗机机体费用模型 ,用变化了的有人战斗机的说明性变量样本和费用样本来模拟无人战斗机的说明性变量样本和费用样本 .灰色模型由于本身的特点 ,在小样本情况下 ,估算结果精度比一般回归分析高 ,比较适合单一机种小样本费用模型的建立 .

关 键 词:无人战斗机  研制生产费用  灰色模型   
文章编号:1000-6788(2003)03-0117-06
修稿时间:2001-11-27

Gray Model Based Airframe Cost Estimating Method of Uninhabited Combat Air Vehicles
LU Kai,LI Wei-ji,SONG Bi-feng. Gray Model Based Airframe Cost Estimating Method of Uninhabited Combat Air Vehicles[J]. Systems Engineering —Theory & Practice, 2003, 23(3): 117-122. DOI: 10.12011/1000-6788(2003)3-117
Authors:LU Kai  LI Wei-ji  SONG Bi-feng
Affiliation:Department of Aircraft Engineering,Northwestern Polytechnical University
Abstract:A cost model based on gray theory is made for the airframe cost estimating of uninhabited combat air vehicles(UCAV).The sample data of UCAV is simulated by the transformation of modified manned attack fighters and the cost sample data is also created using DAPCA Ⅳ cost model for the same airplanes. Gray model has a good ability of forming a rule through accumulated generation operation and inverse accumulated generating operation. Therefore it makes gray model be used widely in model making, especially in...
Keywords:gray model  RDTE and EMD cost  UCAV  
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