| 我国工业经济增长中所有制结构因素计量分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 张海燕,于珊. 我国工业经济增长中所有制结构因素计量分析[J]. 吉林工学院学报, 2009, 30(2): 225-229 |
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| 作者姓名： | 张海燕 于珊 |
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| 作者单位： | 长春工业大学基础科学学院,吉林,长春,130012 |
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| 基金项目： | 吉林省教育厅科学基金 |
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| 摘 要： | 运用误差修正模型（ECM）和状态空间模型，采用改革开放以来工业总产值和国有工业产值以及非国有工业产值的时间序列数据，对我国工业经济增长中的所有制结构因素进行了定量分析。建立了工业总产值与其中的非国有成分之间的ECM模型，经过所有制结构调整，二者之间形成了长期均衡关系，并对工业经济的短期波动产生影响；通过状态空间模型，估计了工业总产值增长中国有和非国有成分贡献的动态趋势，发现二者在工业经济增长中的拉动作用已经发生逆转。
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| 关 键 词： | 所有制结构 经济波动 经济增长 误差修正模型(ECM) |
Quantitative analysis of ownership-structure in China industry economic growth |
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| ZHANG Hai-yan,YU Shan. Quantitative analysis of ownership-structure in China industry economic growth[J]. Journal of Jilin Institute of Technology, 2009, 30(2): 225-229 |
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| Authors: | ZHANG Hai-yan YU Shan |
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| Affiliation: | School of Basic Sciences;Changchun University of Technology;Changchun 130012;China |
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| Abstract: | With the Error Correction Model(ECM) and state model,based on the overall industry production data including the national and private one since our reformation,we make a quantitative analysis for the ownership structure in China industry growth.The ECM model is established to reveal the relationship between the overall industry production value and private industry.It shows that the relationship is equalized in long term after the ownership regulation and will influence the industry economy in short time wi... |
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| Keywords: | ownership-structure economic fluctuation economic growth Error Correction Model （ECM）. |
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