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单要素模糊推理模型在跨流域水库引水调度中的运用研究
引用本文:曹玉涛.单要素模糊推理模型在跨流域水库引水调度中的运用研究[J].太原理工大学学报,2007,38(5):415-419.
作者姓名:曹玉涛
作者单位:太原理工大学,水利科学与工程学院,山西,太原,030024
摘    要:针对引滦入津工程中于桥水库在引水过程中的不合理性,笔者提出在引水时应考虑水库预报来水,并结合水文中长期预报方法,建立推理方程,确定水库面临时段后期的入库来水量。计算方法采用单要素模糊推理方法,计算时段为月,结合推理法则,得出了具有一定精度的入库水量预报值,可为调度者在实际决策时提供依据。

关 键 词:跨流域调水  中长期预报  单要素模糊推理
文章编号:1007-9432(2007)05-0415-05
修稿时间:2006-12-05

Application of Single Factor Fuzzy Deduction Model in Water Transfer Diversion Dispatch
CAO Yu-tao.Application of Single Factor Fuzzy Deduction Model in Water Transfer Diversion Dispatch[J].Journal of Taiyuan University of Technology,2007,38(5):415-419.
Authors:CAO Yu-tao
Institution:College of Water Resource Science and Engineering of TUT, Taiyuan 030024,China
Abstract:By reason of irrational diversion water of Yuqiao reservoir in Project Water Diversion from Luan River to Tianjin,the author brings forward considering forecasted future incoming water,combining with hydrographic mid-long term forecasted method and building deduction equation to ascertain water supply of next month.Single factor fuzzy method is used for,and the computation time is a month.In this way,it can get certain accuracy forecasted incoming water amount,and thus can provide referrence for dispatcher.
Keywords:water transfer  mid-long term forecasting  single factor fuzzy method
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