| 泰安市能源需求预测的SD模型 |
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| 引用本文： | 蒋国安,李堂军.泰安市能源需求预测的SD模型[J].山东科技大学学报(自然科学版),1991(3). |
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| 作者姓名： | 蒋国安 李堂军 |
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| 作者单位： | 山东矿业学院采矿工程系，山东矿业学院采矿工程系 |
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| 摘 要： | 本文应用系统动力学(System Dynamics)理论和方法对泰安市能源经济系统进行了动力学分析,在此基础上建立了泰安市能源规划系统动力学模型。利用此模型,对泰安市从1990年到2000年期间能源供需状况进行了预测,分析了泰安市能源工业与人口以及与社会国民经济的关系,进而提出了解决能源短缺的途径和方法。
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| 关 键 词： | 系统动力学 反馈回路 能源需求 对策 模型 |
SD MODEL FOR PREDICTING THE ENERGYDEMAND OF TAIAN CITY |
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| Jiang Guoan,Li Tangjun.SD MODEL FOR PREDICTING THE ENERGYDEMAND OF TAIAN CITY[J].Journal of Shandong Univ of Sci and Technol: Nat Sci,1991(3). |
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| Authors: | Jiang Guoan Li Tangjun |
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| Institution: | Dept.of Mining Eng. |
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| Abstract: | This paper presents the analysis for the energy-economics system of Taian City using the theory of System Dynamics.On the basis of above analysis,the system dynamics model of energy programming of Taian city has been established. Using model, the authors have predicted and analyzed the situation of the energy supply this and demand of Taian City from 1990 to 2000,and the relationship between the energy industry and the population or the national economy of Taian City,and hence,proposed some ways or means for solving the energy shortage problem |
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| Keywords: | system dynamics feedback loop t energy demand countermeasures model |
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