新型工业化背景下的工业水资源利用效率指数测量及其影响因素分析

以新型工业化发展的内涵为指导,利用云模型构建工业水资源利用效率指数模型及其经济推动、技术进步、用水调控、生态规制、社会保障5个因素的测量体系,并结合关联函数对工业水资源利用效率指数进行分析.历史时序分析结果表明,尽管工业水资源利用效率在1997~2014年间存在短期波动,但整体上保持上升趋势,且具有较大提升空间;横向测量结果表明,区域之间的工业水资源利用效率存在较大差异性,其空间优化配置亟待提高;未来驱动分析表明,工业水资源利用效率有望进一步提升,但仍存在影响其发展的局部因素,如科技创新及其成果转化效率低下、水资源消耗速率较高与规模偏大、废水治理能力与监控能力不足等,并成为后期提高其效率的驱动力.

Industrial Water Use Efficiency Index and Its Influencing FactorsUnder the Background of New Industrialization

The connotation of the new industrialization development was as the guiding ideology, and cloud model was used to build the index of industrial water use efficiency and measuring index system including “economic development technological progress water regulation ecological regulation social security”, and then correlation functions were combined to evaluate the index of industrial water use efficiency. The result of historical sequence measuring shows that although the industrial water use efficiency had some short term fluctuations, but it kept rising on the whole during 1997—2014, and also had a great room for improvement. The result of transverse section measuring shows that the industrial water use efficiency of different regions had a larger difference, so it needs to be optimized urgently in the spatial dimension. The result of future drive measuring shows that industrial water use efficiency could be further promoted, but some short indicators would affect the development of it, such as the low efficiency of technology innovation and achievements transformation, high water consumption rate and scale and insufficient wastewater treatment and monitoring ability, etc. So these short indexes should be resolved urgently.