| 能源技术预见及其中日比较 |
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| 引用本文： | 袁志彬,穆荣平.能源技术预见及其中日比较[J].科学管理研究,2007,25(2). |
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| 作者姓名： | 袁志彬 穆荣平 |
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| 作者单位： | 中国科学院,科技政策与管理科学研究所,北京,100080 |
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| 基金项目： | 中国科学院知识创新工程重要方向项目(KGCX2-SW-601) |
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| 摘 要： | 阐述了技术预见的定义和发展,对“中国未来20年技术预见研究”能源技术领域的德尔菲调查进行了概要介绍和系统分析,并与日本第7次技术预见进行了比较,得出了一些初步结论。
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| 关 键 词： | 技术预见 德尔菲调查 能源技术 |
Energy Technology Foresight and Comparison with the 7th Technology Foresight in Japan |
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| Yuan Zhibin,Mu Rongping.Energy Technology Foresight and Comparison with the 7th Technology Foresight in Japan[J].Scientific Management Research,2007,25(2). |
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| Authors: | Yuan Zhibin Mu Rongping |
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| Abstract: | This paper first introduced the definition and development of the technology foresight,then gave brief introduction and systematic analysis of the Delphi survey in energy technology which is the sub-project belongs to the project of technology foresight Research toward 2020 in China.The results of energy technology foresight were compared with the 7th Technology Foresight in Japan in 2001.Some primary conclusions were drawn finally. |
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| Keywords: | technology foresight Delphi survey energy technology |
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