| 基于灰色系统模型的城市就业容量预测研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 曾波,李丽丽. 基于灰色系统模型的城市就业容量预测研究[J]. 世界科技研究与发展, 2012, 34(5): 848-850,856 |
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| 作者姓名： | 曾波 李丽丽 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 重庆工商大学商务策划学院,重庆410000;重庆工商大学电子商务及供应链系统重庆市重点实验室,重庆410000
2. 重庆工商大学商务策划学院,重庆,410000 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金（71271226,71101159）,重庆市自然科学基金（cstc2012jjA00017）,教育部人文社科青年基金（11YJC630273,11YJC630032,12YJC630140）,重庆市教委科学技术研究项目（KJ120706）,重庆市高等学校教学改革研究项目（1202010）,电子商务及供应链系统重庆市重点实验室开放基金（2012ECSC0101）资助 |
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| 摘 要： | 为解决城市就业容量的预测问题,深入研究了基于灰色系统建模技术的城市就业容量区间灰数预测模型,对模型的模拟误差进行了检验和分析,并将其应用于某市2010～2015就业容量的预测.研究结果对促进劳动力在不同区域的平稳有序流动具有一定的参考价值,对促进灰色系统模型与实际问题的有效对接具有积极意义.
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| 关 键 词： | 灰色系统理论 城市就业容量 预测模型 区间灰数 |
Researches on PredictiOn of Capacity of Urban Employment Based on Grey Model |
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| ZENG Bo , LI Lili. Researches on PredictiOn of Capacity of Urban Employment Based on Grey Model[J]. World Sci-tech R & D, 2012, 34(5): 848-850,856 |
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| Authors: | ZENG Bo LI Lili |
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| Affiliation: | 1. Strategical Planning College, Chongqing Technology and Business University ,Chongqing 410000 ;2. Chongqing Key lboratory of Electronic Commerce and Supply Chain System, Chongqing Technology and Business University, Congqing 410000 ; ) |
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| Abstract: | In order to solve the predictive problem of urban employment capacity, further into the interval grey number prediction model of ur- ban employment capacity is studied based on grey modeling technology, with the simulation errors of model checked and analyzed. And this new model is applied to forecast employment capacity of a city from 2011 to 2015. Research results have some referential values on promoting labors flow smoothly and orderly in different regions, with positive significance for promoting the linking between grey system models and prac- tical problems. |
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| Keywords: | grey system theory urban employment capacity prediction model interval grey number |
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