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Credit Scoring Based on the Set-Valued Identification Method
Authors:Wang  Ximei  Hu  Min  Zhao  Yanlong  Djehiche  Boualem
Institution:1.Department of Mathematics, KTH Royal Institute of Technology, Stockholm, 10044, Sweden
;2.Key Laboratory of Systems and Control, Institute of Systems Science, Academy of Mathematics and Systems Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100190, China
;3.School of Mathematical Sciences, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100190, China
;
Abstract:Credit scoring is one of the key problems in financial risk managements. This paper studies the credit scoring problem based on the set-valued identification method, which is used to explain the relation between the individual attribute vectors and classification for the credit worthy and credit worthless lenders. In particular, system parameters are estimated by the set-valued identification algorithm based on a given recognition criteria. In order to illustrate the efficiency of the proposed method, practical experiments are conducted for credit card applicants of Australia and credit card holders from Taiwan, respectively. The empirical results show that the set-valued model has a higher prediction accuracy on both small and large numbers of data set compared with logistic regression model. Furthermore, parameters estimated by the set-valued identification method are more stable,which provide a meaningful and logical explanation for extracting factors that influence the borrowers' credit scorings.
Keywords:
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