| 我国主要农用机械指标预测 |
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| 引用本文： | 李亚静,潘力,陈英.我国主要农用机械指标预测[J].西南民族学院学报(自然科学版),2002,28(2):159-161. |
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| 作者姓名： | 李亚静 潘力 陈英 |
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| 作者单位： | [1]西南民族学院计算机科学与技术学院，成都610041 [2]绵阳教育学院计算机科学与工程系，绵阳621000 |
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| 摘 要： | 利用灰色预测理论，对“九五”期间我国主要的农用机械数量进行了灰色分析，建立了对上述指标的GM（1，1）模型，经检验，此模型预测精度较高，并据此模型对我国“十五”期间主要农用机械的需要量进行了预测，为国家有关部门调控主要农用机械的生产规模提供了科学依据。
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| 关 键 词： | 灰色预测理论 GM（1 1）模型 年需要量 市场预测 灰色系统理论 农用机械 指标预测 |
| 文章编号： | 1003-2843(2002)02-0159-03 |
| 修稿时间： | 2002年3月1日 |
The GM forecasting of principal agricultural machinery |
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| LI Ya-jing,PAN Li,CHEN Ying.The GM forecasting of principal agricultural machinery[J].Journal of Southwest Nationalities College(Natural Science Edition),2002,28(2):159-161. |
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| Authors: | LI Ya-jing PAN Li CHEN Ying |
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| Institution: | LI Ya-jing,PAN Li,CHEN YingDepartment of Computer Science and Engineering,Southwest University for Nationalities,Chengdu 610041,College of Economic and Management,Southwest Jiaotong University,Chengdu 610031, .Department of Computer Science and Engin |
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| Abstract: | This paper analyzes the major indexes of agricultural machinery during the Nine-Five-Year Plan period by using the theory of GM system, and founds a GM (1,1) prediction model. The model has been proved fairly precise in test work and will be helpful in forecasting and planning in the principal machinery in the Ten-Five-Year Plan period. |
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| Keywords: | gray forecast GM(1 1) model agricultural machinery |
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