基于STIRPAT模型的低碳经济策略分析

随着社会经济的发展，大量温室气体的排放已引起严重的气候变化。辽宁省作为人口、经济大省，在全面振兴东北老工业基地，推进工业化、城镇化和农业现代化，实现“三化”协调发展的同时，积极响应国家政策，发展低碳经济。本文采用1989~2009年辽宁省相关的统计数据，对STIRPAT模型进行了扩展分析，应用EViews6.0软件并使用时间序列分析方法研究了辽宁省碳排放量的影响因素，并提出了相应的减排策略的几点建议。

Strategies-Analysis of the Low Carbon Economy Based on the STIRPAT Model

With the development of social economy, the serious climate problem has been caused by increasing emissions of the Greenhouse gas. As a giant province of population and flourishing economy, with fully revitalizing the old industrial bases in China’s northeast , and promoting the process of the industrialization、the urbanization and the agricultural modernization, we not only realize coordinated development of them, but also positively respond the national policy and develop the low carbon economy. In this paper, we adopts the related statistics data from 1989 to 2009 in Liaoning province to analyse the STIRPAT model and applies EViews6.0 software and time series analysis method to studies the effect factors of carbon emissions of Liaoning province. Eventually some suggestions to reduce carbon dioxide emissions are presented.