| 用状态转移蒙特卡罗方法估计系统的不可靠度 |
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| 引用本文： | 杨继春,陈弘,等.用状态转移蒙特卡罗方法估计系统的不可靠度[J].长沙大学学报,2000,14(4):18-21. |
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| 作者姓名： | 杨继春 陈弘 |
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| 作者单位： | [1]西安卫星测控中心，714012 [2]长沙大学，湖南长沙410003 |
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| 摘 要： | 本文讨论了解析与模拟混合法在利用马尔可夫过程模型进行复杂系统可靠性仿真中的应用，利用解析技术减少随机抽样中的随机因素，缩小被估计量的方差以提高仿真效率，并通过理论与试验证明了该方法的有效性。
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| 关 键 词： | 可靠度 状态转移蒙特卡罗法 估计 复杂系统 相对均方差 仿真效率 马尔可夫过程 |
Evaluation of System Unreliability Using State Transition Monte Carlo Method |
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| YANG Ji-chun,CHEN Hong,FANG Kui.Evaluation of System Unreliability Using State Transition Monte Carlo Method[J].Journal of Changsha University,2000,14(4):18-21. |
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| Authors: | YANG Ji-chun CHEN Hong FANG Kui |
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| Institution: | Center of measurement and control of satellite 714012 ChangSha University 410003 |
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| Abstract: | We discussed in this article the analytic/simulation hybrid method for evaluation reliability of comple systems by digital simulation and Markov process modeling method.Using analytic disposition we reduced stochastic factor in random sampling,and the variation of the evaluated index and the efficiency of simulation was considerably improved.We have confirmed the validity of the proposed method by both analytical demonstration and experimental results. |
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| Keywords: | Reliability Digital simulati |
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