一个基于可持续发展的产业结构优化模型

经济增长、社会进步与环境保护是当今社会发展的三大主题 ,可持续发展正是人类在追求其经济目标、社会目标与生态环境目标的基础上所提出的崭新发展观 .中国在 2 1世纪的发展过程中面临着促进经济增长 ,稳定社会就业以及保护生态环境的三重挑战 ,能否成功 ,不仅取决于中国经济改革的进一步深入 ,还取决于产业结构的优化与升级 .本文以中国经济社会可持续发展为背景 ,提出一个经济增长与产业结构调整的优化模型 ,并以此为基础 ,对中国在 2 1世纪前 2 0年的中长期发展中 ,经济增长、就业变化、污染控制以及产业结构的转换与调整的“互动”关系进行了模拟与展望.

An Optimized Model for China Industry Adjustment Based on Sustainable Development

Economic Growth, Society Improvement and Environment Protection are the main themes in the development of society. It is the brand\|new conception of sustainable development that had been put forward by human been in their course of pursuing the goal of economy, society and environment. China will face three challenges of accelerating economic growth, improving employment and protecting environment in its development in the 21 century and, the success depends both on the deepening of economy reform and on the optimizing and upgrading of the industrial structure. Economy reform is the basic driving force of China's sustainable development and the harmonious and reasonable industrial structure is the basic development path. In the 21 century, China will be confronted with not only the issues of growth and development, but also of adjustment and optimization of the industrial structure. Based on the sustainable development of China, in this paper, an optimized model is set up for China's economic growth and industrial structure adjustment, showing the' interactive' relationship among its economic growth, employment change, pollution control and industrial structure adjustment in the first two decades of the 21 century.