| 国际贸易与就业关系的实证研究(1978—2009) |
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| 引用本文： | 赵婷. 国际贸易与就业关系的实证研究(1978—2009)[J]. 重庆工商大学学报(自然科学版), 2011, 0(2) |
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| 作者姓名： | 赵婷 |
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| 作者单位： | 重庆理工大学经济与贸易学院; |
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| 摘 要： | 运用时间序列计量技术,在5变量系统内检验了1978—2009国际贸易与就业的关系。结果显示就业、出口、进口、全社会固定资产投资及实际GDP等5个变量之间存在长期均衡的协整关系。进口、全社会固定资产投资是就业人数的单向Granger因,就业人数是出口的Granger原因。其政策含义:利用出口拉动就业,大力提升国内有效需求,刺激国内消费,在对外贸易发展战略上,可以通过就业结构的升级来促进出口商品结构升级。
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| 关 键 词： | 国际贸易 就业 协整 Granger因果关系 |
An Empirical Study on the Relationship between International Trade and Employment(1978-2009) |
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| ZHAO Ting. An Empirical Study on the Relationship between International Trade and Employment(1978-2009)[J]. Journal of Chongqing Technology and Business University:Natural Science Edition, 2011, 0(2) |
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| Authors: | ZHAO Ting |
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| Affiliation: | ZHAO Ting(School of Economics and Trade,Chongqing University of Technology,Chongqing 400050,China) |
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| Abstract: | On the basis of time series analysis and within the five-variable system,this paper empirically tests the relationship between international trade and employment in China over the period of 1978-2009.The results indicate that there is a long-term co-integration relationship among the employment,the export,the import,the fixed asset investment and the real GDP;the import and the entire society's fixed asset investment is the lateral Granger cause of the employment.The employment is the Granger cause of the e... |
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| Keywords: | international trade employment cointegration Granger causality |
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