民族自治区流动人口状况与区域经济发展的关联度分析

人口迁移流动是一种引致性变化,而区域经济的发展是导致人口流动的重要驱动力.本文以第五次人口普查数据为主要数据源,对五个民族自治区流动人口的规模、受教育程度进行对比分析;并运用灰色系统理论中灰色关联度研究流动人口与民族地区经济发展的相关性.结论显示,新疆、西藏的流动人口中自治区外迁入比重与自治区内迁入基本持平接近50%,而宁夏流动人口自治区内占比71%、内蒙古、广西流动人口自治区内占比则高达86%.就受教育程度而言,各自治区初中毕业流动人口的占比最高,均在30%以上,而初中以上受教育程度的流动人口占比平均达64%.灰色关联度分析表明民族自治区流动人口与民族区域经济发展具有极高的关联度,民族地区区域内人口流动对经济发展的贡献优于区域间人口流动.

Floating Population Status and the Correlation Analysis of Regional Economic Development in Autonomous Regions

The development of region economy is the important driving force in floating population analysis.Using the fifth census data as the main data source,we analyze ethnic floating population scale,level of education in five autonomous regions;and study the relation about the floating population and economic development in national region correlation with the grey correlation degree.The esults showed the floating population proportion in Xinjiang,Tibet and the region of foreign immigration moved to flat,and the floating population in Ningxia accounted for 71%.The floating population in Guangxi,Inner Mongolia for 86%.On the level of education,junior high school graduates of the floating population accounted for more than 30%,senior high school for 64%.Gray correlation degree analysis showed that correlation between the flow of population and economic development in national regions was high.The contribution of population floating in the same minority area to economic development was higher than that between minority area.