| 云南储蓄存款余额与经济发展关系的实证分析——基于向量误差修正模型 |
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| 引用本文： | 孙丽萍. 云南储蓄存款余额与经济发展关系的实证分析——基于向量误差修正模型[J]. 曲靖师专学报, 2013, 0(6): 99-102 |
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| 作者姓名： | 孙丽萍 |
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| 作者单位： | 曲靖师范学院数学与信息科学学院,云南曲靖655011 |
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| 基金项目： | 曲靖师范学院省级“十二五”优势特色重点学科“应用经济学”资助. |
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| 摘 要： | 通过时间序列框架内的协整检验、格兰杰因果检验,揭示储蓄存款余额与经济发展之间的内在机制,储蓄存款余额的增加对经济增长的正向推动作用明显,二者之间的弹性系数为0.8.实证分析结果从另一方面反映云南省经济增长的助推器主要靠以间接金融为主的资本存量的净增加,地区整体的金融效率不高,政府应进一步促进股票、证券、保险等金融市场发展和完善,提供多元化的投融资渠道,提高资金的配置效率,促进经济良性循环和快速发展.
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| 关 键 词： | 金融发展 经济增长 协整检验 误差修正模型 |
Empirical Analysis of Relationship between Economic Development and the Saving Deposits in Yunnan Based on Model of Vector Error Correction |
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| Sun Liping. Empirical Analysis of Relationship between Economic Development and the Saving Deposits in Yunnan Based on Model of Vector Error Correction[J]. , 2013, 0(6): 99-102 |
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| Authors: | Sun Liping |
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| Affiliation: | Sun Liping ( School of Mathematics and Information Science, Qujing Normal University, Qujing Yunnan655011, P. R. China) |
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| Abstract: | Through the cointegration test and Granger cause and consequences reveals the inner mechanism between savings deposits and economic development, the savings increase has positive role in promoting economic growth, the elastic coefficient is 0.8. on the other hand , of Yunnan mainly rely on the indirect financial, overall financial mote the stock,securites,insurance market development, improve nomic further development. the results show that the ecomomic growth efficiency is low. Govermnet should procapital allocation efficiency, promote economie further development. |
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| Keywords: | financial development economic increase cointegration test model of vector error correction |
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