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The teachers/practitioners corner the effects of indexing ARMA series using the consumer price index
Authors:Edward J Lusk  Oscar Lozano  Haviland Wright
Abstract:The authors demonstrate that indexing a time series with an ARMA representation using the Consumer Price Index does not materially alter the ARMA form of the model. They further demonstrate that the forecasting error of the indexed series and of the product of the forecasts of the index and the time series are, for practical purpose, the same. Simulation results are reported for five model classes.
Keywords:Price deflatory indices  Time series
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